Nuggets vs. Kings Picks and Prediction – 4/9/2025

Denver Nuggets (47-32) vs. Sacramento Kings (39-40)
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
TV: ESPN

Previous Games:

  • Kings: 4-1 ATS in their last 5

  • Nuggets: 1-6 ATS in their last 7

Head-to-Head:

The Nuggets have struggled lately, but they’ve been one of the best offensive teams in the league. Sacramento has been improving but still has some defensive issues. This matchup could go either way, but Denver’s offensive firepower and desperation for a win make them the favorite.

Denver Nuggets Breakdown:

Denver has been struggling, losing four straight games. However, their offense is still potent, averaging 120.7 points per game, which ranks among the best in the league. The Nuggets need this win to stay out of the play-in round, so expect them to play with urgency. Despite their recent troubles, they have Nikola Jokic, one of the best players in the league, and that’s a big advantage.

Key Players:

  • Nikola Jokic: 30.0 points, 12.8 rebounds, 10.2 assists

  • Jamal Murray: 21.6 points per game

Sacramento Kings Breakdown:

Sacramento has been hot recently, winning four of their last five games. They are fighting for a spot in the playoffs and have been playing solid basketball. However, their defense is ranked just 20th in points allowed, which could be a problem against Denver’s high-powered offense.

Key Players:

  • De'Aaron Fox: 24.0 points, 7.4 assists

  • Domantas Sabonis: 19.2 points, 13.9 rebounds, 6.1 assists

Betting Trends:

Denver Nuggets:

  • 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games

  • 7-3 to the OVER in their last 10

Sacramento Kings:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games

  • 7-3 to the UNDER in their last 10

Exact Score Prediction:

Denver Nuggets 120 – Sacramento Kings 115

Our Best Bet:

Denver Nuggets -2.5 (-110)

Despite Denver’s recent struggles, their offense should be able to outpace Sacramento’s defense, especially with Jokic leading the charge. With the Nuggets fighting to secure their playoff position and avoid the play-in round, they will come out with a sense of urgency. Denver has been consistently strong on the offensive end, and Sacramento’s defense likely won’t be enough to keep up. Take Denver to cover the -3.5 spread.

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