Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Picks and Prediction – 4/18/2025

Dallas Mavericks (43-39) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (49-33)
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
TV: ESPN

Previous Games:

  • Mavericks: Defeated Kings 120-106 on Wednesday

  • Grizzlies: Lost to Warriors 121-116 on Tuesday

Head-to-Head:

Memphis won 3 out of 4 regular season meetings with Dallas, including a 35-point blowout in their last matchup. The Grizzlies have covered in all 3 straight wins against the Mavs this season and continue to be a tough out at home.

Dallas Mavericks Breakdown:

The Mavericks are coming off a strong showing against Sacramento, but they’ve struggled overall against Memphis. Over the last 10 games, Dallas has gone 5-5 and has failed to cover in 6 of their last 8 contests. Defensively, they’ve allowed 114.3 points per game during that span. Anthony Davis (16.9 PPG, 7.8 RPG) and Klay Thompson (2.7 threes per game at 42.9%) will need to stay hot to keep this one competitive.

Key Players:

  • Anthony Davis: 27 points vs. Sacramento

  • Klay Thompson: 23 points, including 16 in Q2 last game

Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown:

Memphis has gone 4-6 over their last 10 but remains a high-powered offensive team, averaging 121.7 points per game in the regular season. Ja Morant (23.2 PPG, 7.3 APG) leads the charge alongside Desmond Bane, who dropped 30 points in their last outing. The Grizzlies have covered in 4 of their last 6 overall and thrive at home with an edge in rebounding and depth.

Key Players:

  • Ja Morant: 22.1 PPG, 4.7 APG (last 10 games)

  • Desmond Bane: 3.2 threes per game at 45.7%

Betting Trends:

Dallas Mavericks:

  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games

  • OVER is 4-1 in last 5 games

Memphis Grizzlies:

  • 4-2 ATS in last 6 games

  • 3 straight covers vs. Dallas

  • OVER is 3-1 in last 4

Exact Score Prediction:

Memphis Grizzlies 118 – Dallas Mavericks 109

Our Best Bet:

Memphis Grizzlies -6.5 (-110)

Memphis has had Dallas' number all season, covering the spread in each of their last three meetings and blowing them out in their most recent matchup. With home-court advantage and a deeper rotation, the Grizzlies are poised to secure the 8th seed and extend their playoff run. The Mavs struggle defensively, and if the Memphis offense clicks early, they’ll pull away.

VIEW OUR FREE NBA PREDICTIONS: https://www.precisesportspicks.com/blogs/nba-games

Back to blog