Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Picks and Prediction – 4/13/2025

Dallas Mavericks (39-42) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (47-34)
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
TV: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • Mavericks: Coming off a 124-102 win over the Toronto Raptors

  • Grizzlies: 2-game losing streak, including a 117-112 loss to the Denver Nuggets

Head-to-Head:

Memphis has struggled to cover the spread recently, with only a 4-14 ATS mark in their last 18 games. The Grizzlies also failed to cover in 6 of their last 7 home games against Dallas, which suggests the Mavericks may be able to make a strong push in this game. Dallas is playing with more urgency, aiming to finish 9th in the Western Conference, while Memphis is locked into the play-in round as the 8th seed.

Dallas Mavericks Breakdown:

Dallas has been inconsistent recently but has shown signs of life with a 124-102 win over Toronto, snapping a 3-game losing streak. With a potential chance to improve their seeding, the Mavericks will be motivated to finish strong. Anthony Davis has been solid for Dallas, averaging 20.6 points and 9.6 rebounds, while Spencer Dinwiddie has been their primary playmaker with 4.4 assists per game. However, Dallas has struggled to cover the spread, going 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

Key Players:

  • Anthony Davis: 20.6 PPG, 9.6 RPG

  • Spencer Dinwiddie: 4.4 APG

Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown:

Memphis is locked into the 8th seed, and with less on the line, they might not be as focused. Despite the recent losses, Ja Morant remains one of the best in the league, averaging 23.2 points and 7.3 assists, while Jaren Jackson Jr. continues to be a key contributor with 22.2 points per game. Memphis has been inconsistent in covering the spread, particularly at home, and they’ll need to regain their defensive form to stay competitive in this game.

Key Players:

  • Ja Morant: 23.2 PPG, 7.3 APG

  • Jaren Jackson Jr.: 22.2 PPG

Betting Trends:

Dallas Mavericks:

  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games

  • The OVER has hit in 13 of the Mavericks’ last 17 games

Memphis Grizzlies:

  • 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games

  • The UNDER has hit in 4 of their last 5 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Dallas Mavericks 114 – Memphis Grizzlies 116

Our Best Bet:

Dallas Mavericks +5.5 (-110)

Although Memphis is favored by -5.5, Dallas has a lot more motivation in this game to improve their seeding. Memphis has struggled to cover the spread recently, especially at home, and with less urgency, Dallas should be able to keep the game close and potentially even steal the win.

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