Magic vs. Pacers Picks and Prediction – 4/11/2025

Orlando Magic (40-40) vs. Indiana Pacers (48-31)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
TV: NBA League Pass

Previous Games:

  • Magic: 4-game win streak, coming off a 96-76 win vs. Celtics

  • Pacers: 6-game win streak, defeated Cavaliers 114-112 last night

Head-to-Head:

Indiana has won two of the three matchups this season, but Orlando has covered the spread in all three. The Magic have consistently kept these games close, even on the road, and their defense has caused issues for Indiana’s fast-paced offense.

Orlando Magic Breakdown:

The Magic are rolling with 8 wins in their last 10 and have already locked in the 7th seed. While Banchero and Wagner are listed as questionable, Orlando has covered the spread in 7 straight road games and 9 of their last 10 away from home. They’re allowing just 99.3 points per game over that span and continue to grind out tough, low-scoring games.

Key Players:

  • Paolo Banchero: 28.2 PPG, 8.6 RPG (last 10)

  • Franz Wagner: 23 points, 8 rebounds vs. BOS

  • Cole Anthony: 18 points off the bench in last game

Indiana Pacers Breakdown:

The Pacers have been electric offensively, scoring 122.4 points per game over their last 10. They’ve won 8 of those 10, but their defense remains inconsistent, giving up over 112 points per contest. Indiana needs to win out and hope for two Knicks losses to jump to the No. 3 seed, so motivation is there—but they’ve failed to cover in 15 of their last 20 and 7 of their last 10 home games.

Key Players:

  • Tyrese Haliburton: 23 PTS, 10 AST, 8 REB last game

  • Aaron Nesmith: 22 PTS, 6 REB

  • Jarace Walker: 15 PTS in 15 minutes vs. CLE

Betting Trends:

Orlando Magic:

  • 7-0 ATS in last 7 road games

  • 8-2 SU in last 10 overall

  • 3-0 ATS vs. Pacers this season

Indiana Pacers:

  • 5-6 ATS in last 11

  • Failed to cover in 3 straight against Orlando

  • 29-11 SU at home, but shaky ATS

Exact Score Prediction:

Indiana Pacers 113 – Orlando Magic 108

Our Best Bet:

Orlando Magic +7.5 (-110)

The Pacers are in playoff push mode, but their recent struggles to cover spreads—especially at home—make them risky laying this many points. Meanwhile, the Magic have thrived in this exact role: underdogs on the road. Even if Banchero or Wagner sit, Orlando has shown enough depth and defensive grit to stay within the number. This one projects to be close throughout, and 7.5 points is too much to pass up.

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