Lakers vs. Thunder Picks and Prediction – 4/6/2025
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Los Angeles Lakers (47-30) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (64-13)
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
TV: NBA TV
Previous Games:
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Lakers: Defeated New Orleans 124-108 on Friday
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Thunder: Lost 125-111 on the road to Houston
Head-to-Head:
Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 6 straight home games and enters this matchup with revenge on their mind after a frustrating loss. The Lakers have split their last 10 games, while the Thunder have been dominant, especially on their home court.
Los Angeles Lakers Breakdown:
The Lakers are 5-5 in their last 10 games, struggling with defensive consistency. Over that stretch, they’ve allowed an average of 118.4 points per game. On Friday, the offense came alive with a 52% shooting performance, including big nights from Austin Reaves (30 pts), LeBron James (27 pts), and Luka Doncic (35 pts). Rui Hachimura’s knee injury is a concern as he remains questionable.
Key Players:
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LeBron James: 27 PTS, 8 AST
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Austin Reaves: 30 PTS, 7 AST
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Luka Doncic: 35 PTS, 6 REB, 6 AST (perfect 11-for-11 FT)
Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown:
The Thunder are 11-1 in their last 12 games, and own one of the league’s most efficient defenses, allowing just 107.2 points per game. Despite a rare loss to Houston, OKC remains dominant at home (34-5). They're averaging 125.1 points per game in their last 10 outings and consistently win the rebounding and turnover battles.
Key Players:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 27.1 PPG, 6.7 APG
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Jalen Williams: 33 PTS (last game), 14-for-21 FG
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Chet Holmgren: 20 PTS, 4 REB
Betting Trends:
Los Angeles Lakers:
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3-6 ATS in their last 9 games
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Over in 6 of last 8
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4-2 SU in last 6
Oklahoma City Thunder:
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11-1 SU in last 12
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6-0 ATS in last 6 home games
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9-1 ATS in last 10 home games
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Under in 4 of last 6 vs. Lakers
Exact Score Prediction:
Oklahoma City Thunder 121 – Los Angeles Lakers 108
Our Best Bet:
Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 (-110)
The Thunder have been near automatic at home and cover consistently, especially against weaker defenses like the Lakers. With playoff seeding at stake and a bounce-back mentality after a loss, OKC should control this one from start to finish and win by double digits.