Lakers vs. Thunder Picks and Prediction – 4/6/2025

Los Angeles Lakers (47-30) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (64-13)
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
TV: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • Lakers: Defeated New Orleans 124-108 on Friday

  • Thunder: Lost 125-111 on the road to Houston

Head-to-Head:

Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 6 straight home games and enters this matchup with revenge on their mind after a frustrating loss. The Lakers have split their last 10 games, while the Thunder have been dominant, especially on their home court.

Los Angeles Lakers Breakdown:

The Lakers are 5-5 in their last 10 games, struggling with defensive consistency. Over that stretch, they’ve allowed an average of 118.4 points per game. On Friday, the offense came alive with a 52% shooting performance, including big nights from Austin Reaves (30 pts), LeBron James (27 pts), and Luka Doncic (35 pts). Rui Hachimura’s knee injury is a concern as he remains questionable.

Key Players:

  • LeBron James: 27 PTS, 8 AST

  • Austin Reaves: 30 PTS, 7 AST

  • Luka Doncic: 35 PTS, 6 REB, 6 AST (perfect 11-for-11 FT)

Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown:

The Thunder are 11-1 in their last 12 games, and own one of the league’s most efficient defenses, allowing just 107.2 points per game. Despite a rare loss to Houston, OKC remains dominant at home (34-5). They're averaging 125.1 points per game in their last 10 outings and consistently win the rebounding and turnover battles.

Key Players:

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 27.1 PPG, 6.7 APG

  • Jalen Williams: 33 PTS (last game), 14-for-21 FG

  • Chet Holmgren: 20 PTS, 4 REB

Betting Trends:

Los Angeles Lakers:

  • 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games

  • Over in 6 of last 8

  • 4-2 SU in last 6

Oklahoma City Thunder:

  • 11-1 SU in last 12

  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 home games

  • 9-1 ATS in last 10 home games

  • Under in 4 of last 6 vs. Lakers

Exact Score Prediction:

Oklahoma City Thunder 121 – Los Angeles Lakers 108

Our Best Bet:

Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 (-110)

The Thunder have been near automatic at home and cover consistently, especially against weaker defenses like the Lakers. With playoff seeding at stake and a bounce-back mentality after a loss, OKC should control this one from start to finish and win by double digits.

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