Knicks vs. Hawks Picks and Prediction – 4/5/2025

New York Knicks (48-28) vs. Atlanta Hawks (36-40)
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Line: Knicks -3.5 | O/U: 236.5
TV: NBA League Pass

Previous Games:

  • Knicks: Lost 124-105 to Cleveland, blew a 15-point first-half lead

  • Hawks: Narrow 120-118 road loss to Dallas

Head-to-Head:

New York and Atlanta have split their last few matchups, but the Knicks have been stronger overall, especially defensively. Atlanta has struggled recently, losing 4 of their last 5 games, and New York has covered in 5 of their last 7.

New York Knicks Breakdown:

The Knicks have won 6 of their last 10, anchored by their defensive intensity and efficient half-court offense. Despite missing Jalen Brunson for 14 straight games (questionable for this one), New York continues to produce behind OG Anunoby, who’s averaging 24.3 PPG and shooting 38.9% from three. Josh Hart has also stepped up as a playmaker and rebounder.
New York is holding opponents to just 108.7 PPG over their last 10 games and allowing fewer threes, giving them an edge against Atlanta’s perimeter-heavy attack.

Key Players:

  • OG Anunoby: 24.3 PPG, 2.8 3PM

  • Josh Hart: 19.0 PPG, 7.0 APG

  • Karl-Anthony Edwards: 25 PTS, 13 REB in last outing

Atlanta Hawks Breakdown:

Atlanta has gone 4-6 in their last 10, and though they rank well offensively (120.4 PPG), they’re a liability on defense, giving up 119.3 PPG. They’ve struggled to close games, and their only win in the last five came at home against a depleted lineup.
Trae Young continues to produce, averaging 25.0 PPG and 11.9 APG, but the supporting cast has been inconsistent. While Onyeka Okongwu and Dyson Daniels offer solid contributions, the team’s lack of defense and rebounding puts them at a disadvantage.

Key Players:

  • Trae Young: 25.0 PPG, 11.9 APG, 3.1 3PM (41.9%)

  • Onyeka Okongwu: 20 PTS, 14 REB in last game

  • Dyson Daniels: 17 PTS, 6 REB, 5 AST

Betting Trends:

New York Knicks:

  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games

  • UNDER in 13 of last 20 games

  • 5-2 SU in last 7 overall

  • Last 6 road games have all stayed under 236.5 total

Atlanta Hawks:

  • 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games

  • OVER in 7 of last 9

  • 1-4 SU in their last 5 games

Exact Score Prediction:

New York Knicks 117 – Atlanta Hawks 110

Our Best Bet:

New York Knicks -3.5 (-110)

The Knicks are simply more disciplined, better coached, and stronger defensively. Even if Brunson doesn’t return, their balanced attack and defensive consistency make them the better bet. Atlanta’s inability to get stops should cost them again here.

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