Kings vs. Pistons Picks and Prediction – 4/7/2025

Sacramento Kings (38-40) vs. Detroit Pistons (43-35)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
TV: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • Kings: Beat Cleveland 120-113 last night on the road

  • Pistons: Lost 109-103 at home to Memphis on Saturday

Head-to-Head:

These teams last met earlier this season with Detroit covering the spread comfortably. With the Pistons surging at home and Sacramento on the second night of a back-to-back, the advantage shifts toward Detroit.

Sacramento Kings Breakdown:

Sacramento is on the tail end of a back-to-back after an emotional win in Cleveland. They’ve dropped 7 of their last 10 games and continue to rank in the bottom third in defensive efficiency. While their offense can catch fire with DeRozan, LaVine, and Sabonis all capable scorers, their perimeter defense and rebounding issues leave them vulnerable against aggressive teams like Detroit.

Key Players:

  • DeMar DeRozan: 22.6 PPG, 6.2 APG

  • Zach LaVine: 2.7 3PM (40.3%)

  • Domantas Sabonis: 11.3 RPG, 7 APG

Detroit Pistons Breakdown:

Detroit has won 6 of their last 10 and currently sit just a half-game back from fifth place in the East. Despite a poor shooting night from deep (11-42 from 3) in their last game, they remain a fast-paced, balanced squad that plays with energy at home. They’re also 4 games above .500 at home, where their defense has been much more consistent.

Key Players:

  • Cade Cunningham: 25 PTS, 9 REB last game

  • Ausar Thompson: 18 PTS, 11 REB, 5 AST

  • Isaiah Stewart: 16 PTS, 8 REB

Betting Trends:

Sacramento Kings:

  • 3-7 in their last 10 games

  • 4-7 SU in last 11 games

  • Bottom third in defensive efficiency

Detroit Pistons:

  • 6-4 SU in last 10 games

  • 4-6 ATS in last 10 games

  • Covered -6.5 in 11 of last 20 home games

Exact Score Prediction:

Detroit Pistons 123 – Sacramento Kings 116

Our Best Bet:

Over 230.5 Total Points

With Detroit pushing the tempo (5th fastest in the league) and Sacramento playing on no rest with a bottom-tier defense, this game sets up perfectly for a high-scoring affair. The Kings have offensive firepower to keep up, and Detroit will look to bounce back from a cold shooting night. 

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