Jazz vs. Pacers Picks and Prediction – 4/4/2025

Utah Jazz (16-61) vs. Indiana Pacers (45-31)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
TV: NBA League Pass

Previous Games:

Jazz: Lost 7 straight
Pacers: 8-2 in last 10

Head-to-Head:

Utah has covered 4 of the last 5 meetings against Indiana, but the Pacers won the most recent matchup comfortably. With Indiana fighting for playoff seeding and the Jazz tanking hard, this is a lopsided matchup on paper.

Utah Jazz Breakdown:

The Jazz are in free fall, dropping 9 of their last 10 games and allowing nearly 124 points per game during that stretch. They were embarrassed by Houston on Wednesday, giving up 143 points and shooting just 25% from three. Isaiah Collier had a bright spot with 22 points and 10 assists, but the defense continues to be a massive liability. Utah is also just 7-31 on the road this season.

Key Players:
Isaiah Collier: 6.4 APG
Collin Sexton: 15.4 PPG
Walker Kessler: 9.0 RPG

Indiana Pacers Breakdown:

Indiana has been hot, winning 8 of their last 10 and ranking top-10 in offensive efficiency. They’ve averaged 122.1 points over that stretch and are shooting 50.1% from the field. In their win over Charlotte, Haliburton posted 22 points and 10 assists, while Nesmith and Turner chipped in with strong all-around performances. Indiana is 26-10 at home and has been excellent in high-tempo matchups, especially against weak defensive teams.

Key Players:
Tyrese Haliburton: 7.1 APG
Myles Turner: 6.4 RPG
Obi Toppin: 14.8 PPG

Betting Trends:

Utah Jazz:

• 0-7 SU in last 7 games
• 3-8 ATS in last 11 games
• Under 235.5 in 7 of last 10 games

Indiana Pacers:

• 8-2 SU in last 10 games
• 4-12 ATS in last 16 games
• Under 235.5 in 7 of last 10 home games

Exact Score Prediction:

Indiana Pacers 122 – Utah Jazz 107

Our Best Bet:

Under 235.5 (-110)

Despite Indiana's scoring ability, Utah's recent pace has slowed and their poor offense hasn’t been enough to push totals over. Add in the Pacers’ recent trend of lower totals at home, and the under looks like strong value in this mismatch.