Jazz vs. Nuggets Pick and Prediction – 3/28/2025

Utah Jazz (16-57) vs. Denver Nuggets (46-28)
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Tickets: As low as $29
TV: N/A

Previous Games:

  • Jazz: Lost 140-103 to Memphis

  • Nuggets: Won 127-117 against Milwaukee

Head-to-Head:

The Nuggets have had a dominant edge over the Jazz in recent matchups, and Utah’s struggles this season put Denver in a strong position to cover the large spread.

Utah Jazz Breakdown:

The Jazz have been one of the worst teams in the NBA this season, sitting at the bottom of the Western Conference. After a brutal loss to Memphis, Utah is on a three-game losing streak, with only one win in their last 10 games. They’ve been eliminated from playoff contention and have little to play for. Despite Lauri Markkanen’s solid play, Utah’s defense has been porous, and they’ve been giving up a lot of points.

Key Players:

  • Lauri Markkanen: 19.0 PTS

  • Walker Kessler: 12.3 REB

  • Isaiah Collier: 6.2 AST

Denver Nuggets Breakdown:

The Nuggets are sitting pretty at 3rd in the Western Conference and have one of the MVP frontrunners in Nikola Jokic. Jokic made an impressive return from injury, posting a triple-double in his first game back. Denver has a potent offense, and while they’ve been inconsistent against the spread, their defense should be enough to stifle the undermanned Jazz. If Jokic continues his dominant form, the Nuggets should be able to cover this large spread.

Key Players:

  • Nikola Jokic: 24.6 PTS, 11.8 REB, 9.3 AST

  • Jamal Murray: 21.6 PTS

  • Michael Porter Jr.: 18.2 PTS, 7.0 REB

Betting Trends:

Utah Jazz:

  • 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games

  • Under in 6 of their last 9 games

Denver Nuggets:

  • 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games

  • Over in 7 of their last 8 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Utah Jazz 103 – Denver Nuggets 121

Our Best Bet:

Denver Nuggets -17.5 (-110)

Though the line is huge, Denver has dominated Utah, and the Jazz have little motivation to compete. The Nuggets have struggled to cover large spreads this season, but with Jokic back in full form, they should be able to overpower a depleted Utah squad. Expect a big win from Denver to maintain their playoff positioning.

Back to blog