Hornets vs. Raptors Picks and Prediction – 4/9/2025

Charlotte Hornets (19-60) @ Toronto Raptors (29-50)
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Line: TOR -9.5 | O/U: 218.5

Recent Games:

  • Hornets: Lost 124-100 to Memphis on Tuesday

  • Raptors: Beat Brooklyn 120-109 on Sunday

Charlotte Hornets Breakdown:

Charlotte is ice cold, losing 9 of their last 10 and failing to cover in 7 of those. The offense is bottom-tier, averaging just 104.0 PPG over the last 10, and they’ve hit the Under in 6 of their last 11. On the second night of a back-to-back, shooting legs will be even more questionable — especially after going 11-for-38 from deep last night.

Key Concerns:

  • Missed 27 of 38 threes vs Memphis

  • Fatigue sets in with short rotation

  • Just 3 players scored in double digits

Toronto Raptors Breakdown:

Toronto is quietly playing better defense and sharing the ball well. They’ve held opponents to just 111.1 PPG over their last 10 and rank mid-pack in defensive efficiency. With Scottie Barnes and Poeltl both questionable, they’ll lean on Mogbo, Shead, and Barrett to carry the load again.

Key Players:

  • Jonathan Mogbo: 17 PTS, 11 REB, 7 AST last game

  • Jamal Shead: 6.5 APG, leads team in pace & tempo control

  • RJ Barrett: Cold shooting but steady volume

Betting Trends:

Charlotte Hornets:

  • 2-9 ATS last 11 games

  • Under is 6-5 last 11

  • Averaging just 104.0 PPG in last 10

Toronto Raptors:

  • 6-4 ATS last 10 games

  • Under is 6-4 last 10

  • Holding opponents to 111.1 PPG in last 10

Exact Score Prediction:

Toronto Raptors 109 – Charlotte Hornets 100

Our Best Bet:

Under 218.5

Neither team pushes tempo, and Charlotte’s offense has been abysmal — especially late in the season and on no rest. With Toronto playing respectable defense and Charlotte likely to drag, this total feels a few points too high.

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