Heat vs. Cavaliers Picks and Prediction – 4/20/2025

Miami Heat (46-36) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (54-18)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, Cleveland, OH
TV: TNT / truTV / Max

Previous Games:

  • Heat: Coming off a 123-114 OT win vs. Atlanta

  • Cavaliers: Lost 126-118 in 2OT vs. Indiana

Head-to-Head:

Cleveland won 2 of 3 meetings this season, but all three games averaged 228.6 total points, with the most recent hitting 237. Both teams are coming off overtime battles and are playing fast-paced, offense-first basketball heading into the playoffs.

Miami Heat Breakdown:

The Heat have embraced more tempo with Tyler Herro back, putting up 118.3 PPG over their last 3 games. They’ve hit the OVER in 6 of their last 7 and are letting opponents shoot nearly 39% from three. This version of Miami scores efficiently but struggles to contain explosive guards.

Key Players:

  • Tyler Herro: 22.7 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 7.0 APG

  • Bam Adebayo: 17.0 PPG, 11.0 RPG, 5.0 BPG

Cleveland Cavaliers Breakdown:

Cleveland has leaned on its high-powered offense down the stretch, averaging 120.2 PPG in their last 5 games. While they’ve been great at home all year, they’ve also hit the OVER in 4 of their last 5 vs. Miami, including both games played in Cleveland this season. The defense is slipping, but the firepower remains elite.

Key Players:

  • Jaylon Tyson: 31 points, 7 rebounds last game

  • Emoni Bates: 25 points off the bench (7-of-15 3PT)

  • Nae’Qwon Tomlin: 24 points, 12 rebounds

Betting Trends:

Miami Heat:

  • OVER in 6 of last 7 games

  • Scored 114+ in 4 straight

  • Allowed 114+ in 6 of last 7

Cleveland Cavaliers:

  • OVER in 4 of last 5 vs. Miami

  • Allowed 118+ in back-to-back games

  • 120.2 PPG last 5 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Cleveland Cavaliers 117 – Miami Heat 107

Our Best Bet:

OVER 221.5 (-110)

Both teams are red-hot offensively and coming off overtime games where scoring wasn’t an issue. The Cavaliers are leaking points but still firing at will, while the Heat are healthy and pushing the tempo with Herro back. Expect both teams to crack 110 with ease and push this total OVER.

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