Heat vs. Bulls Picks and Prediction – 4/9/2025

Miami Heat (36-43) vs. Chicago Bulls (36-42)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: United Center, Chicago, IL
TV: NBA League Pass

Previous Games:

  • Heat: Defeated Philadelphia 117-105

  • Bulls: Coming off a back-to-back after playing Cleveland Tuesday

Head-to-Head:

These two teams are close in the standings and could meet again in the Play-In Tournament. However, Chicago holds an edge in recent trends versus Eastern Conference teams, while Miami has been a tough road team as of late, winning three straight away from home. The game projects to be high-paced with both teams fighting for seeding.

Miami Heat Breakdown:

Miami has quietly turned things around, going 7-3 over their last 10 games, including three straight road wins. The Heat are also one of the best teams against the spread lately, posting a 10-1 ATS record in their last 11 games. Tyler Herro has been the go-to scorer, and the return of Duncan Robinson has given the team another perimeter threat. The defense has tightened up too, holding opponents to just 103.3 points per game over the last 10. If Miami controls the tempo and slows down the Bulls' pace, they should have the edge.

Key Players:

  • Tyler Herro: 23.0 PPG

  • Kel’el Ware: 11.2 RPG

  • Davion Mitchell: 6.0 APG

Chicago Bulls Breakdown:

Chicago is playing on the second night of a back-to-back and has been inconsistent at home, losing 12 of their last 20 at the United Center. While their offense has been clicking, averaging 125.7 PPG over the last 10, their defense has been suspect, giving up 121.5 points per game. Coby White has stepped up as a reliable scorer, and Josh Giddey is facilitating well, but against Miami’s more structured defense, the Bulls might struggle to get easy buckets—especially late in the game when legs tire from a back-to-back.

Key Players:

  • Coby White: 26.2 PPG, 52.5% from three

  • Nikola Vucevic: 9.2 RPG

  • Josh Giddey: 8.3 APG

Betting Trends:

Miami Heat:

  • 10-1 ATS in last 11 games

  • 3-game road winning streak

  • Under is 4-2 in last 6 road Wednesday games

Chicago Bulls:

  • 12-4 ATS in last 16

  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 games

  • 8-12 in last 20 home games

Exact Score Prediction:

Miami Heat 114 – Chicago Bulls 110

Our Best Bet:

Miami Heat -1.5 (-110)

The Heat are the more disciplined and rested team heading into this crucial Eastern Conference matchup. With both teams already in the Play-In, Miami’s recent defensive efficiency and hot road form give them the edge. Chicago's offensive output has been strong, but their defense continues to falter, especially in the second leg of back-to-backs. Expect the Heat to control the tempo, lock in defensively, and cover the short spread.

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