Heat vs. Bulls Picks and Prediction – 4/16/2025
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Miami Heat (37-45) vs. Chicago Bulls (39-43)
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Location: United Center, Chicago, IL
TV: ESPN
Previous Games:
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Heat: Rested key starters in a 119-118 loss to Washington
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Bulls: Closed the season with a dominant 122-102 win over Philadelphia
Head-to-Head:
These two teams have played tight matchups all year, but the total has gone OVER in their last 3 meetings. With both offenses trending up and defenses wearing down, we could be in for a high-scoring Play-In battle.
Miami Heat Breakdown:
Miami has won 6 of their last 10, and while they rank 11th in defensive efficiency, recent games have seen a shift in tempo and output. Jaime Jacquez Jr. exploded for 41 points in the season finale, and the Heat have quietly hit the OVER in 5 straight games, showing more willingness to trade buckets lately.
Key Players:
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Jaime Jacquez Jr.: 41 pts, 10 reb, 7 ast vs. WAS
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Josh Christopher: 17 pts off the bench
Chicago Bulls Breakdown:
The Bulls are peaking at the right time, winning 6 of their last 7 and pushing the pace as the 3rd-fastest team in the NBA. They’re averaging just under 118 points per game, and the OVER has hit in 9 of their last 10 contests.
Key Players:
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Kevin Huerter: 18 pts, 5/7 3PT vs. PHI
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Talen Horton-Tucker: 17 pts, 6 ast off the bench
Betting Trends:
Miami Heat:
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OVER is 5-0 in last 5 games
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8-4 SU in last 12
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1-4 ATS in last 5
Chicago Bulls:
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OVER is 9-1 in last 10 games
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6-1 SU in last 7
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4-1 ATS in last 5
Exact Score Prediction:
Miami Heat 114 – Chicago Bulls 109
Our Best Bet:
OVER 219.5 (-110)
This game screams points. The Heat are no longer leaning on defense as heavily, and their recent overs reflect that. Chicago thrives in high-tempo contests, and with both teams treating this like an elimination game, expect pace, scoring, and urgency. The OVER has cashed in 18 of the Bulls’ last 20, and Miami’s offensive rhythm makes this total too low.
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