Hawks vs. Bucks Picks and Prediction – 3/30/2025

Atlanta Hawks (35-38) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (40-33)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
TV: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • Hawks: Coming off a 122-112 loss vs. Miami

  • Bucks: Lost 116-107 vs. New York

Head-to-Head:

Milwaukee won their last meeting against Atlanta, but the Hawks have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 matchups. With Damian Lillard sidelined, the Bucks’ offense has struggled, while Atlanta’s fast-paced playstyle could cause problems for Milwaukee’s defense.

Atlanta Hawks Breakdown:

Atlanta has been playing at a high tempo, averaging 120.3 PPG in their last 10 games while allowing 117.3 PPG. Trae Young continues to lead the team, and Onyeka Okongwu has been a force on the glass. The Hawks' ability to push the pace and knock down threes will be key against Milwaukee’s defense.

Key Players:

  • Trae Young: 24.8 PPG, 9.3 APG, 40.9% 3PT

  • Onyeka Okongwu: 11.1 RPG, 15 PTS in last game

Milwaukee Bucks Breakdown:

The Bucks have been inconsistent, going 4-6 in their last 10 games. Without Damian Lillard, they’ve struggled offensively, averaging 112.6 PPG while allowing 111.3 PPG. Giannis Antetokounmpo remains their biggest weapon, but Milwaukee’s recent struggles against the spread make them a risky favorite.

Key Players:

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo: 23.9 PPG, 10.3 RPG, 5.9 APG

  • Gary Trent Jr.: 3.5 3PM per game, 44.3% 3PT

Betting Trends:

Atlanta Hawks:

  • 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.

  • 5 of their last 6 games have gone OVER.

  • Covered +3.5 spread in 3 of their last 5 games.

Milwaukee Bucks:

  • 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 7 games.

  • 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games.

Exact Score Prediction:

Atlanta Hawks 121 – Milwaukee Bucks 115

Our Best Bet:

Atlanta Hawks +3.5 (-110)

With the Hawks’ fast pace, Milwaukee’s recent struggles without Lillard, and Atlanta’s strong ATS record, the value is on the Hawks to cover the spread on the road.

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