Grizzlies vs. Warriors Picks and Prediction – 4/15/2025

Memphis Grizzlies (48-34) vs. Golden State Warriors (48-34)
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
TV: TNT

Previous Games:

  • Grizzlies: Blew out the Mavericks 132-97

  • Warriors: Lost 124-119 to the Clippers

Head-to-Head:

Golden State went 3-1 against Memphis in the regular season, with two of those wins coming by double digits. The Warriors have the playoff-tested core, home-court edge, and historical dominance in big games against younger, less experienced teams like Memphis.

Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown:

Memphis enters the play-in on a high note after a 35-point win over Dallas, but that win came with their reserves leading the charge. Their offense ranks top 5 in the league, averaging 121.6 PPG, but they’ve been shaky down the stretch, covering in just 2 of their last 10 games. Defensively, they’ve allowed nearly 118 PPG over their last 10, and now they face a Golden State team that thrives in playoff atmospheres.

Key Players:

  • Ja Morant: 23.2 PPG, 7.3 APG

  • Zach Edey: 8.3 RPG

  • Jaren Jackson Jr: 22.2 PPG

Golden State Warriors Breakdown:

The Warriors slipped into the play-in after a tough loss to the Clippers, but don’t let that game fool you — they’ve been hot lately, going 7-3 in their last 10. They’ve also covered in 6 of their last 8 and are playing their best defense of the season, holding opponents to just 107.1 PPG in that span. With Steph Curry healthy and the Chase Center rocking, expect the Dubs to be locked in from the jump.

Key Players:

  • Stephen Curry: 24.4 PPG, 6.0 APG

  • Brandin Podziemski: 6.1 RPG

  • Klay Thompson: Still a threat from deep in big moments

Betting Trends:

Memphis Grizzlies:

  • 5-14 ATS in last 19 games

  • Failed to cover in 7 of last 10

  • UNDER has hit in 4 of last 5

Golden State Warriors:

  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games

  • 7-3 SU in last 10

  • UNDER has hit in 4 of last 5

Exact Score Prediction:

Golden State Warriors 117 – Memphis Grizzlies 108

Our Best Bet:

Golden State Warriors -6.5 (-110)

Golden State is battle-tested and peaking at the right time. They’ve owned this matchup, especially at home, and Memphis’ defensive inconsistencies make it tough to see them keeping pace over 48 minutes. With Curry leading the charge and momentum on their side, the Warriors should win comfortably and cover the spread.

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