Grizzlies vs. Thunder Picks and Prediction – 4/22/2025

Memphis Grizzlies (27-55) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25)
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Game:

  • Thunder: Dominant 131-80 win in Game 1

  • Grizzlies: Worst Game 1 loss in NBA playoff history

Head-to-Head:

Oklahoma City has won 5 straight against Memphis and is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. the Grizzlies. They’ve clearly owned this matchup, and nothing from Game 1 showed signs of that changing.

Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown:

The Grizzlies are depleted, overwhelmed, and badly outmatched. In Game 1, they shot just 34.4% from the field and 17.6% from deep, with Marvin Bagley III and Ja Morant scoring only 17 apiece. They had zero rhythm offensively and were completely overrun on the defensive end. With little playoff experience and no real momentum, it’s hard to see where the response comes from.

Key Players:

  • Ja Morant: 17 PTS (Game 1)

  • Zach Edey: 9 REB (Game 1)

  • Desmond Bane: Struggling from deep, 3-10

Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown:

OKC came out with playoff energy and didn’t let up for 48 minutes. They shot 50.5% from the field, had 6 players score in double figures, and held Memphis to just 80 points. Aaron Wiggins was a surprise spark with 21 points, while Jalen Williams and SGA continue to be rock-solid. Their defense is stifling, and their ball movement has been excellent, averaging 27.8 assists per game in their last 10.

Key Players:

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 19.8 PPG, 5.1 APG last 10

  • Jalen Williams: 20 PTS, 6 AST (Game 1)

  • Chet Holmgren: 10 REB, 3 BLK (Game 1)

Betting Trends:

Memphis Grizzlies:

  • 7-13 ATS in their last 20

  • 0-5 ATS last 5 vs. OKC

  • 0-8 ATS last 8 @ OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder:

  • 5-0 ATS in last 5

  • Covered -14.5 in 3 straight games

  • 8-2 ATS in last 10 overall

Exact Score Prediction:

Oklahoma City Thunder 126 – Memphis Grizzlies 104

Our Best Bet:

Oklahoma City Thunder -14.5 (-110)

The Thunder are dominating on both ends of the floor and look laser-focused early in this series. With Memphis coming off a 51-point loss and continuing to struggle without consistent offense or defense, OKC should easily cover once again. Their ATS trends at home vs. Memphis are overwhelming, and nothing from Game 1 suggests Memphis will make this competitive.

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