Grizzlies vs. Thunder Picks and Prediction – 3/27/2025

Memphis Grizzlies (44-28) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (60-12)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
TV: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • Grizzlies: Snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 125-118 win over Utah

  • Thunder: Riding a 7-game win streak, coming off a 121-113 win over Sacramento

Head-to-Head:

The Thunder are favored by a solid margin of -10.5, having covered the line in their last 3 matchups against the Grizzlies. Oklahoma City has shown dominance, especially at home, and Memphis has been struggling without key players.

Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown:

Memphis is without their stars Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr., leaving Desmond Bane as the focal point of the offense. Bane, averaging 19 PPG, will need to step up offensively to keep the Grizzlies competitive. Memphis has been scoring at an impressive 122.4 points per game, ranking 1st in the NBA, but their defense has been lacking recently.

Key Players:

  • Desmond Bane: 21.3 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 5.5 APG

  • Dillon Brooks: 14.4 PPG, 3.4 RPG

Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown:

The Thunder are in excellent form, riding an 8-game win streak and posting some of the league's best numbers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a constant MVP candidate, averaging 26.6 PPG. With a top-ranked defense and the league's best overall record, Oklahoma City is firing on all cylinders. They’ve been covering the spread -10.5 in recent games, and the Grizzlies’ injuries make them the overwhelming favorite here.

Key Players:

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 26.6 PPG, 5.5 APG

  • Chet Holmgren: 15 PPG, 10 RPG

Betting Trends:

Memphis Grizzlies:

  • 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games.

  • The over has hit in 4 of their last 6 games.

Oklahoma City Thunder:

  • 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games.

  • The under has hit in 4 of their last 6 games.

  • 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.

Exact Score Prediction:

Oklahoma City Thunder 124 – Memphis Grizzlies 110

Our Best Bet:

Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 (-110)

Oklahoma City has been rolling, especially at home, and with Memphis missing key players, the Thunder should cover the spread comfortably.

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