Grizzlies vs. Pistons Picks and Prediction – 4/5/2025

Memphis Grizzlies (45-32) vs. Detroit Pistons (43-34)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Line: Grizzlies -1.5 | O/U: 239.5
TV: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • Grizzlies: Edged out Miami 110-108 with Ja Morant's game-winner

  • Pistons: Handled Toronto 117-105 on the road

Head-to-Head:

Memphis has struggled lately, dropping 7 of their last 10, while Detroit is trending up with 6 wins over the same stretch. These teams haven’t met since early in the season, but the fast pace from both sides suggests another high-scoring battle.

Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown:

Despite recent struggles, the Grizzlies remain dangerous behind Ja Morant and Desmond Bane. Morant dropped 30 points in the win over Miami, including the clutch game-winner. Bane added 17 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists, while Scotty Pippen Jr. gave the bench life with 17 and 7 dimes.
Memphis ranks top in pace and still averages 116.3 PPG over the last 10, but their defense is shaky—allowing 118.7 PPG in that span.

Key Players:

  • Ja Morant: 30 PTS (last game), 8.4 APG

  • Desmond Bane: 17.0 PPG, 2.9 3PM (42.0%)

  • Scotty Pippen Jr.: 5.4 APG off the bench

Detroit Pistons Breakdown:

Detroit is playing strong team basketball despite missing key pieces like Cade Cunningham and Tobias Harris (both questionable). They rank 9th in defensive efficiency, giving up just 113.2 PPG, and are 5 games over .500 at home.
Jalen Duren continues to dominate inside, posting 21 points, 18 rebounds, and 6 assists last night. Tim Hardaway Jr. added 23 points with 5 threes, while Dennis Schroder has quietly been a steady playmaker.

Key Players:

  • Jalen Duren: 10.3 REB, 4.0 OREB

  • Tim Hardaway Jr.: 16.4 PPG, 3.1 3PM

  • Dennis Schroder: 6.9 APG

Betting Trends:

Memphis Grizzlies:

  • 3-7 SU in last 10 games

  • 2-8 ATS in last 10

  • O/U is 5-5 in that span

Detroit Pistons:

  • 6-4 SU in last 10 games

  • 4-7 ATS in last 11

  • O/U is 6-5 in last 11

Exact Score Prediction:

Detroit Pistons 120 – Memphis Grizzlies 116

Our Best Bet:

Detroit Pistons +1.5 (-110)

Detroit is hot at home, winning 3 straight there, and the Grizzlies continue to underperform on both ends. If Cade or Harris suits up, Detroit’s value skyrockets. Either way, they’re playing better team ball and have the frontcourt to control the glass.

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