Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Picks and Prediction – 4/11/2025

Memphis Grizzlies (47-32) @ Denver Nuggets (48-32)
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
TV: None

Previous Games:

  • Grizzlies: Won 124-100 against Charlotte on Tuesday

  • Nuggets: Won 124-116 against Sacramento on Tuesday

Head-to-Head:

Both teams are entering the game with momentum, although the Nuggets have struggled a bit recently, with a 1-4 record in their last 5 games. Memphis, on the other hand, is coming off a dominant win and has been strong overall. However, the Nuggets will have the home-court advantage, and with their high-powered offense led by Nikola Jokić, they should be in a strong position to bounce back after a few tough losses.

Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown:

Memphis has been solid throughout the season, ranking among the league leaders in scoring, thanks to their offensive depth and high shooting percentage. However, their defense has allowed 116 points per game, which could be a concern when facing a high-scoring team like Denver. Memphis has also been effective on the road, covering the spread in 13 of their last 20 games away from home.

Key Players:

  • Jaren Jackson Jr.: 21.2 PPG

  • Desmond Bane: 2.9 3PM (40.3%)

  • Zach Edey: 11.0 RPG

Denver Nuggets Breakdown:

The Nuggets have been struggling a bit recently, with just one win in their last five games, but their offense remains potent, ranking 4th in the league in scoring. Nikola Jokić continues to lead the way as a triple-double threat, and Michael Porter Jr. provides much-needed shooting. Denver's defense has also been inconsistent, allowing 117 points per game, but their overall balance should help them on their home court against Memphis.

Key Players:

  • Nikola Jokić: 22.1 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 5.9 APG

  • Michael Porter Jr.: 39.0% 3PM

  • Jamal Murray: 20.5 PPG, 4.5 APG

Betting Trends:

Memphis Grizzlies:

  • 40-38-1 ATS this season

  • 44-35 O/U this season

Denver Nuggets:

  • 36-43-1 ATS this season

  • 47-32-1 O/U this season

Exact Score Prediction:

Denver Nuggets 120 – Memphis Grizzlies 116

Our Best Bet:

Memphis Grizzlies +6.5 (-110)

The Nuggets have struggled to cover the spread recently, and while they are a formidable team, Memphis has shown that they can compete and cover on the road. Look for this to be a high-scoring game with both teams going back and forth, but Memphis should keep it close enough to cover the spread. The over on the points total is also a strong consideration given both teams' offensive prowess.

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