Clippers vs. Nuggets Picks and Prediction – 4/29/2025

Los Angeles Clippers (51-31) vs. Denver Nuggets (57-25)
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
TV: TNT

Previous Game:

  • Nuggets: Won 101-99 in Game 4 (Series tied 2-2)

  • Clippers: Kawhi Leonard led with 24 points

Head-to-Head:

Denver evened the series on Saturday behind a 36-point performance from Nikola Jokic and a buzzer-beating dunk from Aaron Gordon. The Nuggets now return home, where they’ve been strong despite recent struggles covering spreads.

Los Angeles Clippers Breakdown:

The Clippers have been solid over the past 10 games, winning 8 of them while averaging 116.1 points per game on 51.0% shooting. James Harden continues to produce, averaging 24.3 PPG and 9.9 APG over that stretch. Kawhi Leonard leads the team overall in the postseason with 26.5 points per game, but LA has shown some defensive cracks, especially late in games. Ivica Zubac has provided a boost on the boards, averaging 11.5 rebounds per game.

Key Players:

  • Kawhi Leonard: 26.5 PPG

  • James Harden: 21.3 PPG, 9.5 APG

  • Ivica Zubac: 11.5 RPG

Denver Nuggets Breakdown:

The Nuggets are 5-5 in their last 10 but remain one of the league’s most dangerous home teams. Jokic is in full MVP form, averaging 28.5 points, 13.5 rebounds, and 10.8 assists in the playoffs. Denver’s shooting percentage sits at 44.2%, and while they’ve committed some costly turnovers, their late-game execution remains elite. Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon continue to be reliable secondary options.

Key Players:

  • Nikola Jokic: 28.5 PPG, 13.5 RPG, 10.8 APG

  • Jamal Murray: 20.0 PPG

  • Aaron Gordon: 17.0 PPG

Betting Trends:

Los Angeles Clippers:

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games

  • UNDER has hit in 5 of their last 6

Denver Nuggets:

  • 7-13 ATS in last 20 games

  • UNDER has hit in 5 of last 6

Exact Score Prediction:

Denver Nuggets 106 – Los Angeles Clippers 100

Our Best Bet:

Denver Nuggets +2.5 (-110)

This is a high-value spot for the Nuggets, who return home with momentum after a buzzer-beating win in Game 4. Nikola Jokic continues to dominate all phases of the game, and Denver has a clear edge at Ball Arena with their pace, rebounding, and physicality. While the Clippers have been efficient offensively, their lack of clutch stops and dependency on half-court sets plays into Denver’s defensive strengths. In a pivotal Game 5, expect the Nuggets’ experience and home-court advantage to be the difference.

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