Cavaliers vs. Pacers Picks and Prediction – 4/10/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers (63-16) @ Indiana Pacers (48-31)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Cavaliers: Dominated Chicago 135-113, shooting 50% from deep

  • Pacers: Won a gritty 104-98 battle vs. Washington, shooting just 38%

Head-to-Head:

The Cavs have consistently played Indiana tough and have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 matchups. Despite Indiana’s current win streak, Cleveland has had their number ATS and thrives in these high-profile matchups.

Cleveland Cavaliers Breakdown:

Cleveland is red hot, winning 7 of their last 10 while shooting nearly 50% from the field. They’ve been excelling offensively, averaging 121.3 points per game, and defensively have held opponents to just 114.7. Even with Donovan Mitchell questionable, Darius Garland and Evan Mobley have stepped up in a big way. Garland is coming off a 28-point game, and Mobley continues to be a two-way force.

Key Players:

  • Darius Garland: 28 PTS, 5 AST last game

  • Evan Mobley: 21 PTS, 12 REB, 7 AST last game

Indiana Pacers Breakdown:

The Pacers have won 8 of their last 10, but they’ve struggled to cover large spreads. They’re averaging 121.8 PPG, but their defense has been suspect, giving up 111.1 PPG over that same stretch. While Haliburton and Siakam continue to carry the offense, Indiana hasn’t consistently put away teams even when favored.

Key Players:

  • Tyrese Haliburton: 19.1 PPG, 10.2 APG

  • Pascal Siakam: 24 PTS, 10 REB last game

Betting Trends:

Cleveland Cavaliers:

  • Covered +9.5 spread in 17 of last 20 games

  • 7-3 SU in their last 10

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games

Indiana Pacers:

  • 4-6 ATS in last 10 games

  • 2-8 ATS last 10 vs. Cleveland

  • Have failed to cover -9.5 in 7 of last 10 home games

Exact Score Prediction:

Indiana Pacers 118 – Cleveland Cavaliers 112

Our Best Bet:

Cleveland Cavaliers +9.5 (-110)

The Cavaliers are being undervalued here. Even without Mitchell, they’ve been elite offensively and are deep enough to hang with any team. Indiana is hot but hasn't consistently covered large spreads, especially against Cleveland. This number is too generous to pass up with a Cleveland team that’s covered this line in 17 of their last 20 games.

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