Cavaliers vs. Heat Picks and Prediction – 4/28/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers (3-0) vs. Miami Heat (0-3)
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Cavs: Lead series 3-0, dominant 124-87 victory in Game 3

  • Heat: Struggling to find an answer, down 3-0 in the series

Head-to-Head:

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been playing with offensive precision, averaging over 120 points per game in the first three games of the series. In Game 3, they dismantled the Heat with a balanced attack, led by Jarrett Allen and De’Andre Hunter. Cleveland’s offensive efficiency, paired with their strong defense, has been too much for the Heat to handle so far. Miami, on the other hand, has been unable to generate enough offense, and their struggles on the glass and in ball security have been costly.

Cleveland Cavaliers Breakdown:

Cleveland enters Game 4 looking to complete the sweep. Despite concerns about Darius Garland’s injury, the Cavs have been firing on all cylinders. Jarrett Allen has been a major factor in the series, contributing heavily on both ends of the court. Evan Mobley’s ability to contribute in various areas of the game has also been key to Cleveland’s dominance. Their offense has been lethal, and their defense has been stifling. Cleveland’s solid bench depth and ability to score in multiple ways give them the edge in this matchup.

Key Players:

  • Jarrett Allen: 22 points, 10 rebounds in Game 3

  • De’Andre Hunter: 21 points in Game 3

  • Evan Mobley: 19 points, 6 rebounds

Miami Heat Breakdown:

Miami has been disappointing in this series, struggling both offensively and defensively. Without Jimmy Butler, the Heat lack the scoring punch and leadership they usually rely on in big games. Bam Adebayo has been playing well but hasn't received enough help from the rest of the roster. The Heat have been outrebounded and have committed too many turnovers. They’ll need a huge performance from their stars and some improvement across the board to avoid the sweep.

Key Players:

  • Bam Adebayo: 22 points, 9 rebounds in Game 3

  • Davion Mitchell: 16 points, 5 assists in Game 3

  • Tyler Herro: Struggling, 13 points on 8-13 shooting in Game 3

Betting Trends:

Cleveland Cavaliers:

  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games

  • 4-1 SU in their last 5 games

  • 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against Miami

Miami Heat:

  • 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games

  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games

  • 2-4 SU in their last 6 games

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games against Cleveland

Exact Score Prediction:

Cleveland Cavaliers 115 – Miami Heat 104

Our Best Bet:

Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5
Cleveland has been dominant throughout this series and should be able to cover the spread in Game 4 as they look to finish off the Heat. Expect a high-scoring affair with the Cavs pulling away late to complete the sweep.

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