Bucks vs. Pistons Picks and Prediction – 4/11/2025

Milwaukee Bucks (46-34) vs. Detroit Pistons (44-36)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
TV: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • Bucks: Dominated New Orleans 136-111 behind 54% shooting and 18 threes

  • Pistons: Took down the Knicks 115-106 with a strong second half

Head-to-Head:

Milwaukee has owned this matchup recently, covering the spread in 10 straight games against Detroit. Even without Damian Lillard, the Bucks have looked more locked in and motivated with playoff seeding on the line.

Milwaukee Bucks Breakdown:

The Bucks are surging at the right time, riding a 6-game win streak and looking to lock in the No. 5 seed in the East. Their offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging 119.1 PPG over their last 10 games while shooting 52.2% from the field. Giannis Antetokounmpo is in top form, and the supporting cast has stepped up with key contributions from Kevin Porter Jr. and Kyle Kuzma. The Bucks have also been 8-3 ATS in their last 11, showing strong betting value even without Lillard.

Key Players:

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo: 25.1 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 7.3 APG

  • Kevin Porter Jr.: 20 PTS, 7 AST, 5 STL in 23 mins last game

Detroit Pistons Breakdown:

Detroit is a solid home team but has been inconsistent down the stretch, splitting their last 10 games. They’re strong defensively, ranking 9th in defensive efficiency, but haven’t been covering spreads, going just 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games. Cade Cunningham has been electric, but with playoff seeding already locked up and a back-to-back setup, Detroit may not go all-out here.

Key Players:

  • Cade Cunningham: 36 PTS, 7 AST last game

  • Jalen Duren: 16 PTS, 13 REB vs. NYK

Betting Trends:

Milwaukee Bucks:

  • 6 straight wins

  • 8-3 ATS in their last 11

  • Covered +5.5 in 6 straight games

Detroit Pistons:

  • 4-7 ATS in their last 11

  • Failed to cover -5.5 in 3 of last 5

  • 0-10 ATS in last 10 vs. Bucks

Exact Score Prediction:

Milwaukee Bucks 117 – Detroit Pistons 112

Our Best Bet:

Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 (-110)

The Bucks are playing their best basketball of the season and are motivated to lock in a favorable playoff spot. They’ve been undervalued recently, covering in 6 straight games, and continue to thrive even without Lillard. Detroit, meanwhile, looks comfortable with their playoff positioning and may not bring the same urgency. With momentum, depth, and the spread history all favoring Milwaukee, we’re taking the points with the Bucks.

Back to blog