Bucks vs. Pacers Picks and Prediction – 4/19/2025

Milwaukee Bucks (48-34) vs. Indiana Pacers (50-32)
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
TV: ESPN

Previous Games:

  • Bucks: 8-game winning streak

  • Pacers: Won 126-118 in double OT vs. Cleveland

Head-to-Head:

Milwaukee won 3 of 4 regular-season matchups against Indiana, with Giannis scoring 30+ in each of the wins. Despite Indiana’s home-court edge, the Bucks have consistently gotten the better of them this season.

Milwaukee Bucks Breakdown:

The Bucks are peaking at the right time, winning 8 of their last 10 games while averaging 123.3 points per game. Even without Damian Lillard (calf), Milwaukee has been dominant offensively, shooting over 52% from the field and dishing out nearly 28 assists per game. Giannis Antetokounmpo remains the centerpiece, averaging 25.2 points, 9.0 rebounds, and 8.3 assists during this stretch.

Key Players:

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo: 25.2 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 8.3 APG

  • Pat Connaughton: Career-high 43 points in last game

Indiana Pacers Breakdown:

The Pacers are an explosive offensive team, putting up 117.4 PPG and ranking 7th in offensive efficiency. However, they’ve struggled covering the spread as favorites—failing to cover in 3 of their last 5 games and just 4-6 ATS in their last 10. Their three-point shooting has also been inconsistent, hitting just 10-of-42 from deep in their last win.

Key Players:

  • Tyrese Haliburton: 15.8 PPG, 7.1 APG

  • Jarace Walker: 4.8 RPG

Betting Trends:

Milwaukee Bucks:

  • 8-2 SU in their last 10

  • 8-0 ATS in their last 8

  • Covered +5.5 in 8 straight

Indiana Pacers:

  • 8-2 SU in their last 10

  • 4-6 ATS in their last 10

  • Failed to cover -5.5 in 4 straight vs. Bucks

Exact Score Prediction:

Milwaukee Bucks 117 – Indiana Pacers 114

Our Best Bet:

Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 (-110)

Milwaukee is one of the hottest teams entering the playoffs, and even without Lillard, they have the pieces and experience to compete. They’ve covered in 8 straight and match up well with Indiana, especially with Giannis leading the charge. Indiana’s ATS struggles as a favorite make this spread too generous—look for the Bucks to keep it tight or pull off the outright upset.

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