Bucks vs. Nuggets Picks and Prediction – 3/26/2025

Milwaukee Bucks (40-31) vs. Denver Nuggets (45-28)
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
TV: ESPN

Previous Games:

  • Bucks: Coming off a 108-106 loss to the Phoenix Suns

  • Nuggets: Lost 129-119 to the Chicago Bulls

Head-to-Head:

The Bucks have covered the +4.5 line in 9 of their last 10 games on the road. In the last matchup between these two teams, the Bucks managed to cover the spread and keep the game close. With Jokic’s status uncertain and Denver struggling to cover at home, Milwaukee appears to have the upper hand.

Milwaukee Bucks Breakdown:

The Bucks have been somewhat inconsistent recently, posting a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. Giannis Antetokounmpo remains a dominant force, averaging 27.6 points, 11.4 rebounds, and 5.9 assists, but the Bucks will need more scoring from their role players to stay competitive. With a scoring average of 114.5 points per game, they’ll look to exploit the Nuggets' defense, which has been prone to allowing high-scoring games.

Key Players:

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo: 30.2 PPG, 12.0 RPG

  • Damian Lillard: 24.9 PPG, 7.1 APG

Denver Nuggets Breakdown:

Denver has struggled recently, losing 6 of their last 10 games. While Nikola Jokic remains their most important player, his status for tonight’s game is still in question, which would leave Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. as the primary offensive threats. The Nuggets have been a high-scoring team, averaging 120.7 points per game, but their defense has been lacking, allowing 121.4 points per game in the last 10.

Key Players:

  • Nikola Jokic (if playing): 24.5 PPG, 11.8 RPG, 9.8 APG

  • Jamal Murray: 21.6 PPG, 6.0 APG

Betting Trends:

Milwaukee Bucks:

  • 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games

  • The UNDER has cashed in each of their last 5 games

Denver Nuggets:

  • 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games

  • The OVER has cashed in 6 of their last 7 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Milwaukee Bucks 113 – Denver Nuggets 110

Our Best Bet:

Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 (-110)

With the uncertainty surrounding Jokic's status and the Bucks covering the spread in 9 of their last 10 road games, Milwaukee is the smart pick to cover the +4.5 line in this matchup.

Back to blog